Match Info
Date: 1 August 2022, MondayLocation: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)
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 |
|
 |
|
|
Colón |
|
Independiente |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
3 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3.2 |
2.87 |
|
 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
2.85 |
|
 |
2.44 |
3.36 |
3.08 |
|
 |
2.49 |
3.28 |
2.91 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(1.93) |
3.26 ↑
(3.2) |
2.91 ↓
(4.18) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers) Network on TV: TyC Sports#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Colón
38.6% | Draw
29% | Independiente
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colón's form might have worsened.Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Colón - Independiente Predictions
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 22 - 56.4%). Independiente will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colón: 40.8% – 72%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
Colón has the most likely position - 15 (4.85%), has project points - 36, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).Independiente has the most likely position - 26 (7.73%), has project points - 31, has currently - 8, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).This event has quality 37, very small importance 2, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)Last 5 head-to-head matches Colón won 1. Recent matches Colón is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Independiente has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Colón will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Colón won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-24. Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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