The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Francisco 25.9%
Draw 30.3%
Árabe Unido 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
30.3%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
30.3%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Francisco's form might have worsened.
Árabe Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Árabe Unido's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Francisco than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Francisco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Árabe Unido, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Francisco - Árabe Unido Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Frias J. (G) 18. Rodriguez R. 31. Simmons V. 30. Peralta R. 14. Calderon Kevin 8. Carrasquilla E. 5. Browne O. 7. Bonilla K. 20. Pimentel V. 9. Dinolis R. 19. Medina V.
12. Mosquera K. (G) 19. Harrison J. 24. Munoz M. 4. Bernal D. 94. Chara G. 13. Cooper A. (C) 29. Valencia J. 35. Jimenez J. 20. Collymore R. 26. Reefer O. 9. Villalobos J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
35', Reefer O. 🟨,
36', Cooper A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Dinolis R. ⚽,
44', Pimentel V. 🟨,
44', Chara G. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Cooper A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Jimenez J. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Cooper A. ⚽,
73', Medina V. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
73', Dinolis R. ↓, French R. ↑,
79', Browne O. 🟨,
79', Munoz M. 🟨,
82', Villalobos J. ↓, Penalba O. ↑,
82', Reefer O. ↓, Filos J. ↑,
85', Browne O. ↓, Simmons V. ↑,
89', Bonilla K. ↓, Saldana A. ↑,
89', Carrasquilla E. ↓, Popoff A. ↑,
89', Valencia J. ↓, Breary M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Francisco won 1.
San Francisco is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Árabe Unido is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, San Francisco has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:19 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Francisco against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 6:8 goals (averaging 0.6:0.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
San Francisco - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.14%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Árabe Unido - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.52%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
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Frias J. (G) 
Chara G. 
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