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Current Win Probability
San Jose Earthquakes 40.7%
Draw 24.7%
Minnesota United 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
24.9%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Jose Earthquakes's form might have worsened.
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota United's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Minnesota (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - Minnesota (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gunn A. (G) 28. Kikanovic B. 5. Munie D. 18. Roberts R. 87. Vitor Costa 40. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 34. Leroux B. 7. Bouda O. 10. Tsakiris N. 11. Werner T. (C) 19. Judd P.
12. Callender D. (G) 28. Diaz J. 15. Boxall M. (C) 23. Duggan M. 3. Duncan K. 30. Gene O. 20. Trapp W. 13. Markanich A. 26. Pereyra J. 9. Yeboah K. 22. Caldeira M.
Substitutes
20. Fernandez N. 6. Harkes I. 17. Jasinski J. 79. Johnson D. 9. Jovanovic L. 3. Marie P. 31. Montali F. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 4. Romney D.
8. Chancalay T. 29. Dieng M. 18. Gonzalez M. 24. Gressel J. 67. Harvey C. 16. Jackson A. 2. Padelford D. 1. Smir A. (G) 25. Triantis N.
Coaches
Arena B.
Knowles C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
4', 1 - 0, Werner T. (Penalty Awarded),
10', 1 - 1, Pereyra J. ⚽, Markanich A. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Yeboah K. ⚽, Duncan K. (A),
44', 1 - 3, Yeboah K. ⚽, Gene O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
57', Werner T. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
65', 1 - 4, Caldeira M. ⚽, Duncan K. (A),
66', Tsakiris N. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
66', Bouda O. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
76', Caldeira M. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
76', Gene O. ↓, Triantis N. ↑,
78', Vitor Costa ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
82', Yeboah K. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
83', Trapp W. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,
85', Kikanovic B. 🟨,
86', 1 - 5, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Harvey C. (A),
87', Markanich A. ↓, Padelford D. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1.
San Jose is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Minnesota's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
San Jose could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in San Jose: Adimabua N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in San Jose: Edwards E.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Minnesota: Romero N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Stroud P.
(Muscle Injury)
Triantis N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:37. (average 1.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.5:1.9).
Outrights of MLS for now
San Jose Earthquakes: 3.29% Minnesota United: 0.62%