Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 25

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
Venezuela	Inter
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	San Lorenzo		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	4.1	Watch
	2.1	2.85	4
	2.15	2.92	3.9	Watch
	2.14	2.92	4.32
	2.12	2.92	4.25	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.7
	2.11	3.02	4.08	Watch
	2.15	2.92	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.31)	2.92 ↓ (3.04)	4.03 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
44.2%

Draw
32.4%

Belgrano
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

30.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	50%	10%

San Lorenzo - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Altamirano F. (G) 35. Lujan G. 4. Romana J. 22. Campi G. 21. Braida M. 5. Remedi E. 40. Sosa S. 7. Cerutti E. 80. Muniain I. (C) 11. Leguizamon I. 28. Cuello A.	25. Espinola J. (G) 35. Facello F. 2. Leguizamon A. 37. Troilo M. 33. Delgado R. 8. Compagnucci G. 23. Quignon F. 24. Gonzalez F. 53. Velazquez J. 22. Fernandez N. 29. Jara F. (C)
Substitutes
37. Baez E. 10. Barrios N. 29. Blanco S. 77. Bustos N. 18. Fydriszewski F. 12. Gill O. (G) 36. Herrera D. 17. Irala E. 20. Porra T. 8. Reali M. 24. Tripichio N. 9. Vombergar A.	19. Chavarria P. 1. Chicco I. (G) 34. Heredia G. 51. Hernandes R. 26. Lencioni F. 42. Lucco J. 15. Menossi L. 13. Meriano N. 52. Oses M. 11. Reyna B. 7. Suarez M.
Coaches
Russo M.	Real J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Facello F. 🟨,
28', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽, Espinola J. (A),
45+2', Compagnucci G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sosa S. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
59', Fernandez N. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
63', Cuello A. ↓, Vombergar A. ↑,
64', Muniain I. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
68', Bustos N. 🟨,
74', Leguizamon I. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Jara F. ⚽, Velazquez J. (A),
84', Bustos N. 🟨,
84', Jara F. 🟨,
86', Jara F. ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
87', Quignon F. ↓, Rolon E. ↑,
87', Facello F. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
90+1', Velazquez J. ↓, Lencioni F. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

San Lorenzo will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Injury) Hernandez G. (Injury) Insaurralde M. (Injury) Tripichio N. (Injury)

There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A. (Injury) Marin M. (Injury) Passerini L. (Injury) Sanchez U. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22:9 (average 1.5:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:7 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.11.24	San Lorenzo - Racing	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
05.11.24	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
01.11.24	Central Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Independiente Rivadavia - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTWL
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.11.24	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
21.11.24	Barracas Central - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
11.11.24	Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba	3:1 ✺
06.11.24	Banfield - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
31.01.24	Belgrano - San Lorenzo	1:1
Copa Argentina
30.08.23	San Lorenzo - Belgrano	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.08.23	San Lorenzo - Belgrano	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.07.23	Belgrano - San Lorenzo	0:1
23.02.19	Belgrano - San Lorenzo	0:0
04.05.18	San Lorenzo - Belgrano	2:0
11.03.17	San Lorenzo - Belgrano	2:1

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