Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
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Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV, SI Solo Calcio
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North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	San Lorenzo		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.7	2.7	3.05
	2.61	2.78	3.47
	2.59	2.83	3.22	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.88
	2.63	2.9	3.05	Watch
	2.65	2.72	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.41)	2.82 ↓ (3.06)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
36.3%

Draw
33.6%

Racing
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30.9%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31.1%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Racing aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	64.3%	21.4%

San Lorenzo - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Racing will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 36. Herrera D. 37. Baez E. 5. Irala E. 24. Tripichio N. 21. Braida M. (C) 28. Cuello A. 11. Reali M. 9. Vombergar A.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 34. Mura F. 20. German Conti 23. Colombo N. 35. Quiros S. 19. Rodriguez I. 5. Nardoni J. 32. Almendra A. E. 11. Zaracho M. (C) 28. Solari S. 77. Balboa A.
Substitutes
30. Arias N. 15. Cecchini E. 7. Cerutti E. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 16. Dominguez N. 23. Hernandez G. 19. Insaurralde M. 50. Ladstatter A. 99. Peralta J. 22. Salinardi Branco 26. Vega J. 51. Zelaya M. A.	16. Barrios M. 43. Escudero G. 24. Fernandez A. 1. Gomez F. (G) 49. Gonzalez D. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 38. Merino J. 37. Rodriguez B. 7. Salas M. 59. Sanchez F. 29. Vera S.
Coaches
Russo M.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Braida M. ⚽,
10', Tripichio N. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Mura F. ⚽, Rodriguez I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Quiros S. ↓, Escudero G. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Balboa A. ⚽, Zaracho M. (A),
55', Mura F. 🟨,
57', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
68', Baez E. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
68', Irala E. ↓, Cerutti E. ↑,
69', Balboa A. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
69', Zaracho M. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
72', Colombo N. 🟨,
78', Salas M. 🟨,
78', Almendra A. E. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
82', Cerutti E. 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Braida M. ⚽,
87', Cuello A. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
89', Solari S. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Peralta J. ⚽, Reali M. (A),
90+3', Peralta J. 🟨,
90+4', Reali M. ↓, Hernandez G. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Broken Hand) Muniain I. (Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Adrian Martinez (Injury) Di Cesare M. (Injury) Martirena Torres G. N. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 19:32 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.02.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
17.02.25	Instituto Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
13.02.25	San Lorenzo - Platense	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWTT
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Recopa Sudamericana
27.02.25	Botafogo RJ - Racing	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Racing - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.02.25	Racing - Argentinos Juniors	2:3 ✺
11.02.25	Tigre - Racing	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Racing - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.11.24	San Lorenzo - Racing	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.02.24	Racing - San Lorenzo	4:1
16.09.23	San Lorenzo - Racing	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.07.23	Racing - San Lorenzo	1:1
22.08.22	Racing - San Lorenzo	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.05.22	San Lorenzo - Racing	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.09.21	San Lorenzo - Racing	1:1

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