Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:30	ESPN Premium
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:30	Arena Sport 1
Portugal	23:30	Sport TV3
United Kingdom	23:30	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	18:30	Fanatiz
International	22:30	TyC Sports Internacional


	San Lorenzo		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.7	2.4	Watch
	3.3	2.82	2.45	Watch
	3.48	2.89	2.53
	3.56	2.77	2.44	Watch
	3.3	2.7	2.4
	3.55	2.79	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3)	2.78 ↑ (2.75)	2.45 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
27.4%

Draw
34%

Estudiantes La Plata
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

33.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

33.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	70%	10%

San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - San Lorenzo (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 55. Montenegro L. 17. Rodriguez G. 10. Gulli F. 8. Insaurralde M. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 6. De Ritis M. 28. Barrios N. 9. Cuello A.	1. Iacovich F. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. (C) 24. Palacios T. 40. Mancuso E. 32. Amondarain M. 21. Piovi L. 22. Castro A. 29. Perez Fabricio 10. Palacios T. 11. Farias F.
Substitutes
26. Abrego G. 29. Auzmendi R. 15. Cardillo M. 16. Corujo G. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 18. Herazo D. 44. Hernandez M. 42. Lorenzon F. 5. Perruzzi I. 13. Rattalino J. 11. Reali M. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T.	28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 12. Borzone R. (G) 17. Burgos J. 18. Cetre E. 23. Dominguez F. 26. Funes Mori R. 8. Gabriel Neves 4. Nunez S. 36. Pereyra J. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Medina A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Insaurralde M. ⚽, Barrios N. (A),
18', Gulli F. 🟨,
21', Piovi L. 🟨,
26', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
34', Meza E. 🟨,
36', De Ritis M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', De Ritis M. ↓, Rodriguez Pagano T. ↑,
55', Perez Fabricio ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
57', Gulli F. ↓, Perruzzi I. ↑,
57', Barrios N. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
65', Palacios T. 🟥,
66', Insaurralde M. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
67', Rodriguez G. ↓, Auzmendi R. ↑,
67', Castro A. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
67', Piovi L. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
68', Nunez S. 🟨,
79', Farias F. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
79', Mancuso E. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
86', Montenegro L. 🟨,
90', Tripichio N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Estudiantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury) Cerutti E. (Knee Injury) Cordoba A. (Muscle Injury) Hernandez G. (Knee Injury) Herrera D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Estudiantes: Alario L. (Foot Injury) Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Benedetti G. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes La Plata - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.66%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
20.03.26	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Rincón	5:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.26	San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia	2:5 ✺
11.03.26	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Talleres de Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLTT
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba	5:0 ✺
17.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.11.24	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
13.02.24	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1
20.09.23	Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.06.23	Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo	1:1
07.08.22	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0
Club Friendly
26.01.22	Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.08.21	Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo	2:0

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