Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	San Lorenzo		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.57	2.7	3.2	Watch
	2.5	2.7	3.25
	2.35	2.82	3.5	Watch
	2.38	2.86	3.54	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.4
	2.33	2.82	3.53	Watch
	2.22	2.71	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.21)	2.76 ↓ (2.81)	3.49 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
39.3%

Draw
33.9%

Instituto Córdoba
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

33.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

33.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 73.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - San Lorenzo (1.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Lorenzo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Instituto (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 34. Lopez F. 4. Romana J. 23. Hernandez G. (C) 6. De Ritis M. 15. Cardillo M. 5. Perruzzi I. 24. Tripichio N. 10. Gulli F. 17. Rodriguez G. 9. Cuello A.	28. Roffo M. (G) 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 26. Mosevich L. 30. Galvan J. 44. Cerato G. 13. Mendez J. 19. Lodico G. A. 3. Sosa D. 20. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 11. Fonseca M. 10. Luna A.
Substitutes
26. Abrego G. 16. Corujo G. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 18. Herazo D. 32. Herrera E. 14. Ladstatter A. 42. Lorenzon F. 21. Perruzzi F. 13. Rattalino J. 11. Reali M. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 19. Vietto L.	8. Acevedo J. 32. Bravo A. 2. De La Fuente H. 15. Gallardo M. 7. Guerra N. 29. Jara F. 21. Lazaro J. 22. Massaccesi A. 61. Medina J. 72. Rafaelli L. 27. Rossi I. 35. Sittaro Miranda E. O. (G)
Coaches
Ayude D.	Flores D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Galvan J. ↓, Bravo A. ↑,
38', 0 - 1, Sosa D. ⚽, Mendez J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez G. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
50', Sosa D. 🟨,
57', Tripichio N. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
57', Perruzzi I. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
60', Fonseca M. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
60', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Rafaelli L. ↑,
70', Romana J. 🟨,
75', Mendez J. ↓, Gallardo M. ↑,
75', Sosa D. ↓, Acevedo J. ↑,
76', Gulli F. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
81', Luna A. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Vietto L. ⚽,
88', Cardillo M. ↓, Rattalino J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 4.

San Lorenzo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Instituto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Lorenzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

San Lorenzo might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Injury) Cordoba A. (Muscle Injury) Herrera D. (Knee Injury) Insaurralde M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Instituto: Jara F. (Inactive) Klimowicz L. (Inactive) Moyano F. (Inactive) Romero J. (Injury) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.26	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	San Lorenzo - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWW
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Lanús	2:2 ✺
26.01.26	Platense - Instituto Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.25	San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba	1:0
17.02.25	Instituto Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:1
05.10.24	Instituto Córdoba - San Lorenzo	2:0
20.05.23	San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba	2:0
Copa Argentina
05.08.15	Instituto Córdoba - San Lorenzo	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.07.12	San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba	1:1

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