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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 50.2%
Draw 28.1%
Rangers de Talca 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
26.4%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
25.3%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Rangers de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
San Marcos de Arica - Rangers de Talca Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rangers will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Tapia B. (G) 5. Rivera J. 8. Barrios A. 14. Guerra C. 34. Barboza A. 10. Sagredo B. 15. Cubillos G. 19. Maidana A. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 16. Reyes G.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 27. Servetti C. (C) 16. Rigazzi L. 3. Vasquez K. 21. Mora P. 18. Rodriguez A. 10. Rozas I. 24. Gomez T. 19. Gonzalez D. 9. Arias J. 39. Mesias Gonzalez I. S.
Substitutes
20. Abalos A. 33. Benavides E. 23. Cazula A. 22. Donadell N. 18. Galleguillos A. 4. Iturra M. 1. Saracho R. (G)
14. Acuna S. 37. Castro M. 25. Cerda F. (G) 29. Donoso M. 22. Plaza D. 40. Reyes I. 11. Vicuna M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Sagredo B. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Servetti C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barrios A. ↓, Donadell N. ↑,
69', Reyes G. ↓, Benavides E. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ⚽,
78', Sagredo B. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
81', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 🟨,
83', Barboza A. ↓, Cazula A. ↑,
84', Maidana A. ↓, Galleguillos A. ↑,
84', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↓, Reyes I. ↑,
85', Donadell N. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', Gomez T. ↓, Vicuna M. ↑,
87', 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 5.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
San Marcos de Arica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
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Tapia B. (G) 
Barboza A. 
Maidana A. 
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