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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 49%
Draw 28.1%
Deportes Valdivia 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
24.4%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
22.6%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos de Arica's form might have worsened.
Deportes Valdivia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Valdivia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Valdivia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Valdivia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B and 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
In this match San Marcos de Arica is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.
Including matches at home between the teams San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.