Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Carlos Dittborn (Arica) 🌤️ ...


	San Marcos de Arica		Deportes Valdivia

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	3.8
	1.75	3.2	4
	1.85	3	3.9
	1.85	3.34	3.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.6)	3.16 ↓ (3.8)	3.89 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcos de Arica
49%

Draw
28.1%

Deportes Valdivia
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

24%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos de Arica's form might have worsened.

Deportes Valdivia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Valdivia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos de Arica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Valdivia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Valdivia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match San Marcos de Arica is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marcos de Arica
Chilean Segunda Division
25.09.22	Deportes Limache - San Marcos de Arica	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	San Marcos de Arica - Iberia Los Ángeles	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	San Marcos de Arica - General Velásquez	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Deportes Concepción - San Marcos de Arica	0:1 ✺
13.08.22	San Marcos de Arica - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTWT
- Deportes Valdivia
Chilean Segunda Division
25.09.22	Deportes Valdivia - San Antonio Unido	0:4 ✺
10.09.22	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Valdivia	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Concepción	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	General Velásquez - Deportes Valdivia	0:1 ✺
13.08.22	Independiente de Cauquenes - Deportes Valdivia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
18.06.22	Deportes Valdivia - San Marcos de Arica	2:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.12.20	Deportes Valdivia - San Marcos de Arica	2:1
30.09.20	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Valdivia	1:1
27.10.18	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Valdivia	2:1
04.03.18	Deportes Valdivia - San Marcos de Arica	1:0
10.09.17	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Valdivia	2:1
27.02.17	Deportes Valdivia - San Marcos de Arica	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marcos de Arica
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.10.26	San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota	✺

San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Valdivia