Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 28Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday
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San Marino Calcio |
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Vigor Senigallia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.88 |
3.2 |
2.22 |
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2.93 |
3.26 |
2.25 |
Watch |
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2.95 |
3.14 |
2.25 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.92 ↑ (2.91) |
3.2 ↓ (3.23) |
2.24 (2.24) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Marino Calcio 31.1% | Draw 28.4% | Vigor Senigallia 40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)San Marino Calcio - Vigor Senigallia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Parrinello T. ⚽,
- 41', 0 - 2, De Feo G. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 2, Gasperoni M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 76', 1 - 3, Braconi L. ⚽,
- 80', 1 - 4, Braconi L. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 7).San Marino is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Vigor Senigallia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;