Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 25Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Castelfidardo |
|
San Marino Calcio |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.32 |
3.1 |
2.72 |
|
 |
2.17 |
3.31 |
3.02 |
 Watch |
 |
2.25 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
|
 |
2.14 |
3.2 |
3.11 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.69) |
3.13 ↓
(3.23) |
2.94 ↑
(2.34) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castelfidardo
40.6% | Draw
28.8% | San Marino Calcio
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castelfidardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castelfidardo's performance.San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Marino Calcio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castelfidardo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Marino Calcio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Castelfidardo - San Marino Calcio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Corigliano F. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Morais M. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 1, Gallo M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 66', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 72', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).Castelfidardo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).San Marino is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castelfidardo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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