The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de San Juan 42%
Draw 32.3%
Aldosivi 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
32.1%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
32.6%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de San Juan's performance.
Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldosivi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de San Juan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldosivi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Martín de San Juan - Aldosivi Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martín (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Borgogno M. (C) 4. Molina A. 20. Burgos E. 29. Lecanda T. 3. Alvarez L. 49. Gonzalez D. 21. Watson N. 16. Portillo A. 22. Jaurena S. 28. Iacobellis M. 25. Toloza F.
1. Carranza J. (C) 4. Gonzalez R. 25. Breitenbruch N. 6. Mottes G. 3. Guerrico I. 44. Cerato G. 5. Bochi R. 8. Serrago T. 21. Leiva T. 18. Preciado E. 9. Torres E.
Substitutes
7. Casa M. 2. Caseres R. 15. Cavallaro J. 30. Diarte L. 19. Escalante L. T. 9. Gonzalez F. 10. Gonzalez S. 26. Lopes H. 37. Menendez J. 5. Pelaitay N. 24. Pernia E. 13. Velazco M. (G)
55. Achetoni J. I. 14. Barlasina W. (G) 20. Cabral Y. 22. Dominguez A. 30. Falasco L. 7. Guzman N. 2. Kummer T. 15. Laquidain S. 52. Luduena L. 11. Palavecino A. 23. Paredes G. 19. Rami F.
Coaches
Romagnoli L.
Charlier M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Preciado E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Alvarez L. ↓, Diarte L. ↑,
46', Gonzalez D. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
46', Portillo A. ↓, Menendez J. ↑,
55', Iacobellis M. 🟨,
64', Leiva T. 🟥,
64', Watson N. 🟨,
68', Burgos E. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
69', Jaurena S. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
69', Preciado E. ↓, Cabral Y. ↑,
71', Menendez J. 🟨,
83', Mottes G. 🟨,
84', Iacobellis M. 🟨,
88', Serrago T. ↓, Falasco L. ↑,
89', Lecanda T. 🟨,
89', Lecanda T. 🟥,
90', Guerrico I. 🟨,
90+1', Toloza F. 🟨,
90+3', Falasco L. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Torres E. ⚽, Falasco L. (A),
90+7', Torres E. 🟨,
90+8', Carranza J. 🟨,
90+9', 0 - 3, Torres E. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 2.
San Martín is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aldosivi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
San Martín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
San Martín will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in San Martín: Anselmo F.
(Inactive)
Casa M.
(Injury)
Montagna E.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Aldosivi: Esponda M.
(Ankle Injury)
Garcia M.
(Muscle Injury)
Godoy F.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Aldosivi: Chavez L.
(Injury)
Giani J.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).