Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Ciudadela (Tucuman)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	San Martín de Tucumán		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3	4.2
	1.97	3	4.2	Watch
	1.99	3.06	4.68
	1.94	3.03	4.56	Watch
	1.91	3	4.4
	1.92	2.96	4.49	Watch
	1.95	2.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.86)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	4.38 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Tucumán
47.9%

Draw
30.9%

Racing de Córdoba
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

28.8%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

27.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Racing de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

San Martín de Tucumán - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sand D. (C) 4. Murillo F. 2. Rodriguez G. 6. Orellana J. 3. Zuliani H. 11. Esquivel J. 8. Soraire J. 5. Abregu G. 10. Hachen G. 7. Garcia F. 9. Pino M.	1. Mattalia J. (G) 4. Chamorro R. 2. Albarracin M. 6. Perales V. 3. Ferrero G. 8. Machado M. 5. Rostagno G. 10. Diaz G. 11. Fernandez L. (C) 7. Vignolo J. 9. Chavarria P.
Substitutes
16. Cainelli N. 12. Carrizo N. (G) 18. Cuevas J. 15. Graneros A. 13. Perez M. 19. Prokop A. 14. Quiroz F. 17. Vera U. 20. Veron M.	13. Abello D. 14. Churchi S. 15. Gutierrez M. 12. Maslovski M. (G) 18. Monti L. 17. Oyola A. I. 19. Sanchez G. 16. Sanchez N. 20. Villegas L.
Coaches
Martos A.	Arzubialde H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Soraire J. 🟨,
39', Rostagno G. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Pino M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Orellana J. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
56', Arzubialde H. 🟥,
61', Hachen G. 🟥,
64', Garcia F. ↓, Cuevas J. ↑,
64', Esquivel J. ↓, Vera U. ↑,
68', Diaz G. ↓, Oyola A. I. ↑,
68', Ferrero G. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
72', Machado M. ↓, Monti L. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Vignolo J. ⚽,
78', Soraire J. ↓, Prokop A. ↑,
81', Chamorro R. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
87', Murillo F. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,

Preview

San Martin T is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Racing de Córdoba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Martin T may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Martin T is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, San Martin T won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - San Martín de Tucumán	3:1 ✺
02.05.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Arsenal Sarandí - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	San Martín de Tucumán - All Boys	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Alvarado - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWTW
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.25	Racing de Córdoba - Güemes	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Patronato Parana - Racing de Córdoba	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Club Almagro - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Racing de Córdoba - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.10.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Racing de Córdoba	2:2
26.05.24	Racing de Córdoba - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1

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