Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Franklin A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Patronato Parana		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.34	2.95	3.15	Watch
	2.52	2.92	3.21
	2.48	2.84	3.23	Watch
	2.38	2.88	3.2
	2.4	2.93	3.23	Watch
	2.34	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.02)	2.91 ↓ (3.25)	3.18 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
38.9%

Draw
32%

Racing de Córdoba
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.7%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.9%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.

Racing de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Patronato Parana - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Racing de Córdoba will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mazza J. (G) 4. Rueda M. 2. Diaz G. 6. Bellatti S. D. N. 3. Navas J. 8. Barinaga J. 5. Gallucci S. (C) 10. Pereyra V. L. 7. Castro F. 9. Bonansea A. 11. Marcioni J.	1. Mattalia J. (G) 4. Chamorro R. 2. Albarracin M. 6. Ferrero G. 3. Fernandez L. (C) 10. Diaz G. 8. Machado M. 5. Rostagno G. 11. Gutierrez M. 7. Vignolo J. 9. Chavarria P.
Substitutes
14. Asis G. 20. Barolin J. 12. Chaves I. (G) 13. Diaz F. N. 18. Miro A. 17. Moreno E. 16. Nievas B. 19. Pardo M. 15. Picco A. R.	13. Abello D. 16. Churchi S. 15. Ghiggia F. 12. Maslovski M. (G) 18. Oyola A. I. 14. Perales V. 19. Sanchez G. 17. Sanchez N. 20. Villegas L.
Coaches
Gomez G.	Arzubialde H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Castro F. ⚽,
10', Navas J. ↓, Asis G. ↑,
27', 1 - 1, Chavarria P. ⚽,
28', Rostagno G. 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, Chavarria P. ⚽,
37', Ferrero G. 🟨,
39', 2 - 2, Bonansea A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mazza J. ↓, Chaves I. ↑,
46', Diaz G. ↓, Perales V. ↑,
47', 3 - 2, Bonansea A. ⚽,
54', Machado M. 🟨,
64', Gutierrez M. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
75', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
78', Vignolo J. ↓, Villegas L. ↑,
78', Chamorro R. ↓, Monti L. ↑,
86', Castro F. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
86', Barinaga J. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
87', Ferrero G. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Patronato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Patronato could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Patronato Parana - Colegiales	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Patronato Parana - All Boys	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Alvarado - Patronato Parana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWWL
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.25	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Club Almagro - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Racing de Córdoba - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Quilmes - Racing de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Racing de Córdoba - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.07.24	Racing de Córdoba - Patronato Parana	1:0
03.03.24	Patronato Parana - Racing de Córdoba	2:1

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