The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Miguel 56.2%
Draw 28%
Acassuso 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.1%
27%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
26.2%
13.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
San Miguel - Acassuso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sappa D. (G) 2. Renteria D. 4. Adin D. 3. Cruz A. 6. Cardozo F. 5. Ramirez I. 8. Serra M. 10. Ferrero J. 7. Juarez D. 9. Delgado L. 11. Diaz T.
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Etcheverri R. 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 6. Pioli L. 3. Dordoni B. 9. Rodriguez T. 5. Raccio J. 10. Hermoso A. 7. Reynoso R. 8. Dubini K. (C) 11. Serrano V.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre F. 16. Almeida F. 17. Brochero L. 15. De la Cruz E. 19. Fernandez G. 12. Ledesma Reynoso M. (G) 20. Nasta B. 18. Oses M. 14. Perez L.
20. Acosta N. 13. Ghiraldello J. 19. Gonzalez A. 12. Luque J. (G) 17. Monaco M. 14. Ponce J. 16. Postigo J. 18. Rey L. 15. Roberts D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Raccio J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diaz T. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
54', Dubini K. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
54', Raccio J. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
65', Cardozo F. 🟨,
66', Juarez D. ↓, Oses M. ↑,
72', Etcheverri R. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
81', Serra M. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
81', Ferrero J. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
82', Serrano V. 🟨,
90+2', Hermoso A. ↓, Roberts D. ↑,
90+5', Cruz A. ↓, De la Cruz E. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 2.
San Miguel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Acassuso's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Acassuso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, San Miguel is considered a favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, San Miguel won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
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Sappa D. (G) 
Renteria D. 
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