Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 19

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Central Norte		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.70	3.50
	2.35	2.70	3.30
	2.30	2.75	3.60
	2.44	2.70	3.79
	2.41	2.66	3.66	Watch
	2.40	2.60	3.75
	2.23	2.75	3.48
	2.33	2.65	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.32)	2.69 ↑ (2.62)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
39.5%

Draw
34.5%

San Miguel
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

35.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

36.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Central Norte - San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 1 - 20%). San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - San Miguel (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vazquez E. (G) 3. Aleo A. 9. Borda F. 2. Calderon E. 11. Castro T. 4. Lamosa A. 7. Moravec M. 6. Padilla M. 8. Ribero M. 10. Vedoya F. 5. Villarreal M.	1. Ledesma Reynoso M. (G) 4. Adin D. 6. Ceceri K. 3. Cruz A. 9. Delgado L. 7. Diaz T. 10. Ferrero J. 11. Juarez D. 5. Ramirez I. 2. Renteria D. 8. Serra M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Castro T. ⚽, Aleo A. (A),
23', Cruz A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Ferrero J. ⚽,
42', Padilla M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cruz A. ↓, Cardozo F. ↑,
58', Delgado L. 🟨,
63', Moravec M. ↓, Taobas T. ↑,
64', Castro T. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
67', Juarez D. ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
76', Padilla M. 🟨,
76', Delgado L. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
76', Diaz T. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
77', Vedoya F. ↓, Pucheta A. ↑,
86', Adin D. ↓, Perez L. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).

Central Norte has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Miguel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Central Norte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Central Norte might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Central Norte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Central Norte - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.98%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.06.26	Central Norte - Godoy Cruz	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Central Norte - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Acassuso - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Central Norte - Chaco For Ever	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLTL
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.06.26	Acassuso - San Miguel	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Madryn - San Miguel	2:2 ✺
06.06.26	San Miguel - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	San Miguel - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.02.26	San Miguel - Central Norte	1:0

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