Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 4

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: La Quema Stadium (Boulogne Sur Mer)


	Acassuso		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.70	2.57	Watch
	3.15	2.62	2.58
	3.28	2.75	2.73
	3.3	2.57	2.64	Watch
	3.10	2.50	2.62
	3.20	2.54	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.21)	2.61 ↑ (2.59)	2.61 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acassuso
29.1%

Draw
35.5%

San Miguel
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

35.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

35.2%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Acassuso - San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Acassuso will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). San Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Etcheverri R. 2. Pioli L. 6. Dordoni B. 3. Ruiz A. 11. Rodriguez T. 8. Dubini K. (C) 5. De Stefano D. 7. Acosta N. 10. Hermoso A. 9. Gonzalez A.	1. Ledesma Reynoso M. (G) 4. Adin D. 2. Renteria D. 6. Ceceri K. 3. De la Cruz E. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 8. Serra M. 10. Juarez D. 11. Ferrero J. 7. Brochero L. 9. Delgado L.
Substitutes
12. Atamanuk C. (G) 13. Borges S. 14. Ghiraldello J. 15. Petillo N. 18. Ponce J. 16. Raccio J. 17. Reynoso R. 19. Romero L. 20. Serrano V.	13. Aguirre F. 18. Almeida F. 15. Benitez M. 16. Desabato L. 17. Diaz T. 12. Escobar M. (G) 19. Jerez T. 20. Oses M. 14. Perez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Ramirez I. ⚽, Ferrero J. (A),
18', Etcheverri R. 🟨,
24', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
32', Ramirez I. 🟨,
38', Adin D. 🟨,
45', Acosta N. 🟨,
45+1', Ruiz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
46', Acosta N. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
57', Juarez D. ↓, Diaz T. ↑,
57', Brochero L. ↓, Oses M. ↑,
61', De Stefano D. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
71', Ramirez I. ↓, Desabato L. ↑,
74', Hermoso A. ↓, Reynoso R. ↑,
74', Ruiz A. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
81', Serra M. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
81', Ferrero J. ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
90+2', Raccio J. 🟥,
90+5', Dubini K. 🟨,
90+8', 0 - 2, Etcheverri R. (Own goal),

Preview

Federation decision.

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Acassuso won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Acassuso - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

San Miguel - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Acassuso	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Acassuso - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Deportivo Madryn - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Acassuso - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Acassuso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWTWL
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.26	Deportivo Madryn - San Miguel	2:2 ✺
06.06.26	San Miguel - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	San Miguel - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Mitre - San Miguel	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
01.07.23	Acassuso - San Miguel	2:1
04.03.23	San Miguel - Acassuso	1:1
20.08.22	San Miguel - Acassuso	2:0
24.04.22	Acassuso - San Miguel	2:1
28.08.21	Acassuso - San Miguel	4:1
17.04.21	San Miguel - Acassuso	2:0
16.02.20	San Miguel - Acassuso	0:0

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