The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Miguel 32.1%
Draw 34.3%
Colón 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
34.4%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
34.1%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
San Miguel - Colón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sappa D. (G) 4. Adin D. 2. Renteria D. 6. Cardozo F. 3. Cruz A. 7. Brochero L. 5. Ramirez I. 8. Serra M. 10. Ferrero J. 11. Fernandez G. 9. Nasta B.
1. Budino M. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 2. Barrios P. 6. Rasmussen F. 3. Castet F. 8. Toledo A. 5. Lertora F. 11. Marcioni J. 7. Garate L. 9. Bonansea A. 10. Lago I.
Substitutes
16. Almeida F. 13. Ceceri K. 20. Delgado L. 15. Desabato L. 17. Diaz T. 19. Juarez D. 12. Ledesma Reynoso M. (G) 18. Oses M. 14. Perez L.
16. Allende L. 15. Antonio I. 17. Buosi J. 20. Garcia F. 12. Gimenez T. (G) 19. Ibarra C. 14. Munoz M. 13. Olmedo S. 18. Thaller N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45', Cruz A. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Toledo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Brochero L. ↓, Oses M. ↑,
58', Serra M. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Lertora F. ⚽,
67', Garate L. ↓, Antonio I. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Nasta B. ⚽, Adin D. (A),
72', Cruz A. ↓, Delgado L. ↑,
72', Fernandez G. ↓, Ceceri K. ↑,
78', Toledo A. ↓, Thaller N. ↑,
78', Bonansea A. ↓, Buosi J. ↑,
79', Lertora F. 🟨,
79', Oses M. 🟨,
81', Cardozo F. ↓, Juarez D. ↑,
86', Marcioni J. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
86', Lago I. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
90+5', Ramirez I. 🟨,
90+5', Rasmussen F. 🟨,
Preview
Recent form of San Miguel has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Colón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Last Results with these Odds
Colón - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.4%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.