Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Marbella		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	2
	4	3.5	1.93	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.81	3.26	1.96
	3.9	3.3	2
	3.76	3.13	2.1	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (5.64)	3.29 ↓ (3.58)	1.98 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
24.3%

Draw
28.5%

Ferrol
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

26.2%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.8%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marbella's performance.

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marbella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Marbella - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Marbella will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Ferrol will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marbella: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lejarraga A. (C) 6. Benitez A. 5. Carrascal A. 7. Delgado J. 18. Gonzalez O. 20. Maldonado A. 12. Marco Tulio 15. Moreno F. 22. Munoz I. 19. Ohemeng E. 14. Olguin M.	1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 6. Bernal J. 15. Castro D. 24. Cubero S. 9. Justo M. 8. Lopez A. (C) 16. Manzanara F. 21. Moi 11. Nacho 19. Sabin 14. Vadillo A.
Substitutes
16. Antonito 13. Bejar Y. 4. Carrasco J. 8. de Vicente R. 17. Gato 2. Prieto J. 10. Punal A. 11. Utrilla A.	25. Cantero A. (G) 2. Delmas J. 13. Emilio (G) 20. Gimenez A. 22. Losada I. 7. Pena H. 10. Sene J. 23. Vicente C.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ferrol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Marbella - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Linense - Marbella	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Marbella - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Cadiz CF B - Marbella	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Marbella - Orihuela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWWT
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.23	Racing Santander - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	Ferrol - Eldense	1:1 ✺
16.10.23	Levante - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Ferrol - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
05.10.23	Ferrol - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLTW

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