Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)


	Central Norte		San Telmo

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.85	5	Watch
	1.90	2.90	4.33
	1.95	2.82	4.45	Watch
	1.98	2.88	5.01
	2.02	2.67	5.14	Watch
	2	2.75	4.33
	1.91	2.75	4.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.94)	2.8 ↓ (2.89)	4.71 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
47.4%

Draw
33%

San Telmo
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

32%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

31.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Central Norte - San Telmo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 1 - 25%). San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vazquez E. (G) 4. Lamosa A. 3. Sanz P. 2. Felissia L. 6. Padilla M. (C) 10. Mateo J. 8. Ribero M. 5. Villarreal M. 11. Taobas T. 7. Moravec M. 9. Borda F.	1. Enrico J. C. (G) 4. Motroni J. 2. Pollacchi L. (C) 6. Britez L. 3. Gamarra R. 5. Britez E. 8. Uriburu R. 10. Iritier J. 11. Ledesma M. I. 9. Batallini M. 7. Zurbriggen J.
Substitutes
19. Alvez G. 13. Enriquez R. 17. Fernandez K. 12. Hass F. (G) 20. Lopez J. 16. Mancuso G. 14. Pucheta A. 15. Rosales M. 18. Vedoya F.	17. Gonzalez J. 16. Gonzalez M. 13. Laba M. 19. Larthirigoyen I. 14. Paredes G. 15. Porto J. 12. Ratalin G. (G) 18. Salerno M. 20. Tisera F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ledesma M. I. ↓, Salerno M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mateo J. ↓, Vedoya F. ↑,
46', Zurbriggen J. ↓, Tisera F. ↑,
52', Moravec M. ↓, Alvez G. ↑,
73', Taobas T. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
74', Uriburu R. ↓, Laba M. ↑,
74', Batallini M. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
87', Iritier J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Central Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Central Norte is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Central Norte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Central Norte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

San Telmo - the odds 4.53 are the expected chance of winning is 20.42%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.06.26	Acassuso - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Central Norte - Chaco For Ever	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
15.05.26	Racing de Córdoba - Central Norte	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Central Norte - Deportivo Madryn	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLWL
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.06.26	San Telmo - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	San Telmo - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Almirante Brown - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	San Telmo - Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.25	San Telmo - Central Norte	3:1
12.05.25	Central Norte - San Telmo	1:2

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