Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 33

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta) 🌤️ ...


	Central Norte		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.70	2.50
	3.00	2.75	2.50
	3.00	2.80	2.60	Watch
	3.43	2.72	2.74
	3.18	2.72	2.62	Watch
	3.35	2.50	2.70
	3.13	2.78	2.57	Watch
	3.00	2.70	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.19)	2.71 ↑ (2.69)	2.6 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
29.6%

Draw
34.4%

Ferro Carril Oeste
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.3%

34.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

35%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Central Norte - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hass F. (G) 3. Felissia L. 6. Lamosa A. 2. Calderon E. 5. Villarreal M. (C) 4. Rosales M. 8. Mancuso G. 11. Sanz P. 7. Moravec M. 10. Vedoya F. 9. Borda F.	1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Tevez F. 6. Orellana J. 3. Ozuna E. 5. Obradovich F. 9. Reniero N. 7. Gonzalez A. 8. Kabalin M. 10. Hoyos E. 11. Dening E.
Substitutes
14. Aleo A. 16. Bustinduy A. 17. Castro T. 20. Isa Luna K. 19. Mateo J. 13. Pucheta A. 15. Quiroga S. 18. Taobas T. 12. Vazquez E. (G)	16. Castellani G. 14. Corda S. 17. Garcia S. 18. Gomez N. 15. Olguin G. 20. Parisi L. 13. Pena Biafore L. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 19. Uriel P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Reniero N. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Vedoya F. ⚽,
32', Orellana J. ↓, Pena Biafore L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Dening E. ↓, Parisi L. ↑,
70', Reniero N. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
73', Calderon E. 🟨,
74', Kabalin M. ↓, Gomez N. ↑,
74', Moravec M. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
74', Hoyos E. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
83', Rosales M. ↓, Castro T. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th and 1st in the Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Central Norte may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Central Norte has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.10.26	Central Norte - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Deportivo Madryn - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Central Norte - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLTT
- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.10.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Madryn	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Almirante Brown - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Central Norte	1:0

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