Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 31

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)


	Deportivo Madryn		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.25	10	Watch
	1.55	3.50	6.00
	1.48	3.55	6.8	Watch
	1.6	3.53	7.08
	1.57	3.62	6.7	Watch
	1.56	3.45	7
	1.52	3.22	9.91	Watch
	1.55	3.4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.68)	3.44 ↑ (3.29)	7.46 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
60.5%

Draw
27.1%

Central Norte
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

28.4%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

27.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Madryn - Central Norte Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Deportivo Madryn (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Deportivo Madryn (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportivo Madryn will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Madryn (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Cosi J. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Corvalan C. 3. Diarte L. 7. Marinucci L. 5. Recalde F. 8. Machado C. 10. Solis N. 9. Silba L. 11. Peinipil J.	1. Hass F. (G) 4. Rosales M. 2. Calderon E. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Felissia L. 7. Moravec M. 8. Mancuso G. 5. Villarreal M. 10. Quiroga S. 11. Aleo A. 9. Borda F.
Substitutes
18. Bersano F. 15. Dionisio A. 14. Gutierrez A. 17. Jara E. 16. Martinez D. 19. Montagna E. 12. Montero M. (G) 13. Ortiz N. D. 20. Servetto N.	18. Bodencer E. 16. Bustinduy A. 17. Castro T. 14. Enriquez R. 20. Isa Luna K. 19. Mateo J. 13. Pucheta A. 15. Taobas T. 12. Vazquez E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Quiroga S. ↓, Castro T. ↑,
58', Moravec M. 🟨,
61', Moravec M. ↓, Bodencer E. ↑,
62', Silba L. ↓, Servetto N. ↑,
68', Villarreal M. 🟨,
70', Giacopuzzi F. 🟨,
75', Bonnin Y. 🟨,
75', Bodencer E. 🟨,
76', Villarreal M. 🟨,
77', Marinucci L. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
80', Rosales M. ↓, Bustinduy A. ↑,
81', Cosi J. ↓, Dionisio A. ↑,
81', Diarte L. ↓, Bersano F. ↑,
81', Machado C. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
90', Borda F. ↓, Taobas T. ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 15th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Deportivo Madryn for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Deportivo Madryn has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.26	Deportivo Madryn - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Madryn - Ciudad de Bolívar	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
25.08.26	Deportivo Madryn - Godoy Cruz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.26	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Central Norte - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mitre - Central Norte	2:2 ✺
26.08.26	Central Norte - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.05.26	Central Norte - Deportivo Madryn	2:3

Upcoming Matches