Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Central Norte		Chaco For Ever

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.7	Watch
	2.2	2.82	3.55	Watch
	2.29	2.9	3.75
	2.37	2.55	3.89	Watch
	2.25	2.63	3.6
	2.2	2.72	3.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.23)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	3.68 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
41%

Draw
33.9%

Chaco For Ever
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

33.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Chaco For Ever has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Central Norte - Chaco For Ever Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vazquez E. (G) 2. Calderon E. 5. Villarreal M. 6. Padilla M. 3. Lamosa A. 4. Rosales M. 7. Lopez J. 8. Mancuso G. 11. Sanz P. 9. Borda F. 10. Alvez G.	1. Caprio N. (G) 2. Valdez D. 5. Nievas B. 6. Garay R. 3. Silvera M. 7. Cerrudo J. 4. Luque A. 8. Garcia B. 11. Lioi A. 10. Marinucci L. 9. Enriquez I.
Substitutes
16. Bustinduy A. 13. Felissia L. 17. Fernandez K. 12. Hass F. (G) 18. Mateo J. 20. Moravec M. 14. Pucheta A. 15. Vaquero J. 19. Vedoya F.	12. Canuto G. (G) 15. Carrizo J. 20. Diaz Chaves M. 19. Espejo L. 16. Gaggi E. 17. Melgarejo G. 14. Mihovilcevich L. 18. Valenzuela S. 13. Zules Caicedo R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Borda F. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Alvez G. ⚽,
16', Enriquez I. 🟨,
19', Mancuso G. 🟥,
19', Garcia B. 🟨,
29', Cerrudo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alvez G. ↓, Moravec M. ↑,
46', Lopez J. ↓, Mateo J. ↑,
46', Garcia B. ↓, Melgarejo G. ↑,
57', Lioi A. ↓, Diaz Chaves M. ↑,
61', Marinucci L. 🟨,
63', Cerrudo J. ↓, Gaggi E. ↑,
63', Garay R. ↓, Espejo L. ↑,
67', Rosales M. ↓, Felissia L. ↑,
68', Nievas B. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Gaggi E. ⚽, Melgarejo G. (A),
74', Sanz P. ↓, Vaquero J. ↑,
74', Padilla M. ↓, Pucheta A. ↑,
83', Nievas B. ↓, Carrizo J. ↑,
85', Villarreal M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Norte won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Chaco For Ever may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Central Norte might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Central Norte won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Norte won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
15.05.26	Racing de Córdoba - Central Norte	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Central Norte - Deportivo Madryn	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Central Norte - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLTL
- Chaco For Ever
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Madryn	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Chaco For Ever - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Almirante Brown - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chaco For Ever - Mitre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.01.26	Chaco For Ever - Central Norte	1:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.08.25	Central Norte - Chaco For Ever	0:1
29.03.25	Chaco For Ever - Central Norte	1:0
Club Friendly
30.01.22	Central Norte - Chaco For Ever	1:0
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.10.21	Central Norte - Chaco For Ever	2:0
07.07.21	Chaco For Ever - Central Norte	2:2
09.12.20	Central Norte - Chaco For Ever	2:1

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