Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 27

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Øster Hus Arena (Sandnes)

Referee: Hatam A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Sandnes Ulf		Lyn

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.44
	5.75	4.6	1.43
	6	4.75	1.47	Watch
	5.5	5.18	1.48
	5.72	4.89	1.46	Watch
	5.8	4.5	1.4
	5.79	4.7	1.47	Watch
	6	5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.79 ↑ (5.16)	4.8 ↑ (4.69)	1.45 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandnes Ulf
16.1%

Draw
19.5%

Lyn
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

20%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

19.7%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandnes Ulf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Sandnes Ulf - Lyn Predictions

Users Predictions: Lyn will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mbaye S. (G) 2. Kleppa H. 3. Berger E. (C) 32. Latinovich V. 17. Nyhagen A. 5. Oregaard G. 18. Oby O. 29. Roaldsoy A. 26. Memedov A. 9. Alba R. 11. Kvernstuen J.	1. Pedersen A. (G) 3. Sjol J. 6. Schneider D. 4. Sell W. (C) 18. Nilsen H. 21. Skaug J. 25. Ingebrigtsen M. 16. Berntsen A. 9. Olsen A. 11. Hellum A. 20. Hanstad J.
Substitutes
7. Aanesland M. 20. Aune J. 4. Bager M. 28. Bertelsen N. 19. Braut D. 13. Flolid T. (G) 8. Moldskred M. 25. Osenbroch E. 6. Salvesen C.	26. Breistol O. 77. Hylen B. 14. Isufi E. 10. Johansen M. 13. Lunde M. (G) 22. Meinseth H. 28. Niang M. 2. Skulstad J. 29. Sylla M.
Coaches
Nilsen S.	Halvorsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Nyhagen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Berger E. 🟨,
64', Memedov A. ↓, Moldskred M. ↑,
66', Hellum A. ↓, Johansen M. ↑,
72', Berntsen A. ↓, Isufi E. ↑,
74', Olsen A. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
77', Kvernstuen J. ↓, Braut D. ↑,
77', Kleppa H. ↓, Aune J. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Johansen M. ⚽,
86', Oby O. ↓, Osenbroch E. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Sandnes Ulf is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lyn is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lyn is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sandnes Ulf won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian NM Cup
05.10.24	Sandnes Ulf - Levanger	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.10.24	Raufoss - Sandnes Ulf	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Sandnes Ulf - Start	0:4 ✺
25.09.24	Moss - Sandnes Ulf	6:1 ✺
21.09.24	Sandnes Ulf - Sogndal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTLLW
- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.10.24	Ranheim - Lyn	1:1 ✺
02.10.24	Lyn - Egersund	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Lyn - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Levanger - Lyn	1:3 ✺
15.09.24	Sogndal - Lyn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.05.24	Lyn - Sandnes Ulf	5:0

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