The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São João de Ver 55%
Draw 24.8%
Sanjoanense 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.8%
22.7%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63%
21.9%
15.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São João de Ver's form might have worsened.
Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São João de Ver, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
São João de Ver - Sanjoanense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
65. Didi (G) 61. Vilela R. 21. Rui Bruno 4. Morais B. 23. Monteiro J. 33. Washington 10. Castro J. 29. Valente R. 11. Rai Nascimento 37. Firmino H. 17. Pereira N.
36. Duarte A. (G) 12. Vitinha 2. Martins J. 3. Nando 6. Serra A. 5. Santos R. 8. Podstawski T. 16. Gomes V. 20. Andrezinho 19. Cezar F. 30. Talles Wander
Substitutes
99. Benjamim R. (G) 27. Ca L. 20. Campas T. 39. Jaramillo J. 16. Jesse 5. Jota 9. Marques P. 3. Serrao J.
25. Couto J. 21. Gomes R. 10. Kiko Felix 24. Maio F. 1. Monteiro J. (G) 7. Rocha T. 33. Sa G. 11. Shodipo O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Serra A. ⚽,
9', Martins J. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Rai Nascimento ⚽, Pereira N. (A),
44', Cezar F. ↓, Kiko Felix ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Castro J. ↓, Campas T. ↑,
72', Firmino H. ↓, Marques P. ↑,
72', Pereira N. ↓, Ca L. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Ca L. ⚽,
79', Martins J. ↓, Shodipo O. ↑,
79', Andrezinho ↓, Rocha T. ↑,
84', Vilela M. 🟨,
89', Rai Nascimento ↓, Jesse ↑,
90', Valente R. ↓, Jaramillo J. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', Vitinha 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1.
São João de Ver is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sanjoanense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
São João de Ver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, São João de Ver is seen as the favorite.
We predict that São João de Ver will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, São João de Ver won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
Portugal
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Didi (G) 
Washington 
Cezar F. 
Jaramillo J. 
Jesse 
Shodipo O. 
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