Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Sasso Marconi		Sangiuliano City Nova

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	2.78	3.1	2.35
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.88	3.13	2.3
	2.85	3.33	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.44)	3.13 ↓ (3.28)	2.3 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sasso Marconi
32.1%

Draw
28.8%

Sangiuliano City Nova
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sangiuliano City Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sasso Marconi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Sasso Marconi - Sangiuliano City Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Marra N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Saggionetto N. ⚽,
49', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Prasso N. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 9).

Sasso Marconi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sangiuliano City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.12.25	Sasso Marconi - Progresso	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Imolese - Sasso Marconi	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Rovato Vertovese - Sasso Marconi	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Sasso Marconi - Desenzano Calvina	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Lentigione - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL
- Sangiuliano City Nova
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.12.25	Desenzano Calvina - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Sangiuliano City Nova - Rovato Vertovese	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Sangiuliano City Nova	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Sangiuliano City Nova - Crema	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Tropical Coriano - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLTW

Sasso Marconi - Sangiuliano City Nova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide