Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finalsDate: 27 June 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck (Rio do Sul)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Santa Catarina |
|
EC São José Porto Alegre |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.93 |
2.87 |
3.90 |
|
 |
2.02 |
2.88 |
3.65 |
|
 |
1.94 |
2.96 |
4.28 |
|
 |
2.19 |
2.73 |
3.79 |
|
 |
2.02 |
2.85 |
3.6 |
|
 |
2.07 |
2.9 |
3.65 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(2.03) |
2.87 ↓
(2.88) |
3.81 ↑
(3.66) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santa Catarina
44.6% | Draw
31.6% | EC São José Porto Alegre
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Santa Catarina - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 67', 0 - 1, Tiago Pedra ⚽,
- 70', 1 - 1, Alex Goncalves ⚽,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.Santa Catarina has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).EC São José is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Santa Catarina could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Catarina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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