The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Catarina 35.5%
Draw 31.6%
Náutico Marcílio Dias 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
27.8%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Catarina's form might have worsened.
Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náutico Marcílio Dias's recent form is better than expected.
Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Santa Catarina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Catarina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Catarina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
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