The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Clara 61.5%
Draw 23.6%
Boavista 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
29.4%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
29.5%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Clara's performance.
Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boavista might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-18.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Clara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boavista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
20%
10%
Santa Clara - Boavista Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Boavista will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 49.9% โ 90.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 21. Venancio F. 13. Rocha L. 23. Lima S. 2. Diogo Calila 6. Adriano Firmino 8. Ferreira P. 32. Araujo M. 70. Vinicius Lopes 9. Safira 11. Gabriel Silva
1. Cesar (G) 15. Gomes P. 20. Ferreira F. 70. Onyemaechi B. 25. Dabo A. 35. Miguel G. 16. Silva J. 2. Camara I. 24. Perez S. (C) 7. Agra S. 9. Bozenik R.
Substitutes
19. Almeida B. 17. Costa J. 28. Habraao 42. Lucas Soares 3. Matheus Pereira 12. Neneca (G) 27. Ramos G. 10. Ricardinho 35. Serginho
71. Barros J. 74. Llorente D. 23. Machado T. 73. Marques A. 10. Reisinho M. 88. Ribeiro M. 75. Silva T. 76. Sousa T. (G) 18. Vukotic I.
Coaches
Matos V.
Bacci C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Ferreira P. 🟨,
20', Miguel G. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Vinicius Lopes ⚽,
39', Diogo Calila 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Miguel G. ↓, Reisinho M. ↑,
67', Safira ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
67', Dabo A. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
76', Diogo Calila ↓, Lucas Soares ↑,
76', Ferreira P. ↓, Serginho ↑,
77', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
80', Camara I. ↓, Machado T. ↑,
88', Gomes P. 🟨,
90', Gabriel Silva ↓, Costa J. ↑,
90+2', Ferreira F. 🟨,
90+3', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 15).
Recent matches Santa Clara is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Boavista is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Boavista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.
There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Moraes Pires L. H.
(Knee Injury)
Reisinho M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.