Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	DAZN Italia
Lithuania	Sport 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Benfica TV
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, Sportklub
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Triller TV+


	Benfica		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.27	5.5	10.5
	1.27	5.4	10.5	Watch
	1.3	5.51	12.43
	1.34	4.52	10.32	Watch
	1.31	5.05	11.5	Watch
	1.19	6.25	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.22)	5.39 ↓ (6.25)	10.96 ↓ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
73.9%

Draw
17.5%

Santa Clara
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.1%

15.1%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	5.3%	0%

Benfica - Santa Clara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Santa Clara (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Benfica (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (35 of 37 users predict this - 94.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Santa Clara (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 44. Araujo T. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 8. Aursnes F. 20. Rios R. 5. Barrenechea E. 21. Schjelderup A. 9. Ivanovic F. 14. Pavlidis V.	1. Gabriel Batista (C) 23. Lima S. 21. Venancio F. 32. MT 42. Lucas Soares 6. Adriano Firmino 35. Serginho 64. Paulo Victor 11. Brenner 10. Gabriel Silva 3. Matheus Pereira
Substitutes
39. Araujo H. 18. Barreiro L. 3. Obrador R. 64. Oliveira G. 25. Prestianni G. 86. Prioste D. 71. Santos L. 24. Soares S. (G) 10. Sudakov G.	9. Carter A. 17. Costa J. 2. Diogo Calila 8. Ferreira P. 28. Luquinhas 12. Neneca (G) 13. Rocha L. 65. Tavares J. 70. Vinicius Lopes
Coaches
Lage B.	Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
38', Paulo Victor 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Araujo T. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
58', Prestianni G. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Pavlidis V. ⚽,
61', Gabriel Silva ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
61', Brenner ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
72', Rios R. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
72', Ivanovic F. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
72', Schjelderup A. ↓, Sudakov G. ↑,
81', Matheus Pereira ↓, Carter A. ↑,
81', Serginho ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
81', Adriano Firmino ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Vinicius Lopes ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 5.

Benfica is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Santa Clara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Benfica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Benfica is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Benfica: Dedic A. (Injury) Lukebakio D. (Foot Injury) Otamendi N. (Inactive) Rios R. (Inactive)

We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 35:10. (average 2.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
31.08.25	Alverca - Benfica	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.25	Benfica - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
23.08.25	Benfica - Tondela	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.08.25	Fenerbahçe - Benfica	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.08.25	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWTW
- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
06.09.25	Estoril Praia - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Santa Clara - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Shamrock Rovers - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
21.08.25	Santa Clara - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.08.25	Santa Clara - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
15.02.25	Santa Clara - Benfica	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
30.10.24	Benfica - Santa Clara	3:0
Liga Portugal
14.09.24	Benfica - Santa Clara	4:1
27.05.23	Benfica - Santa Clara	3:0
21.01.23	Santa Clara - Benfica	0:3
12.02.22	Benfica - Santa Clara	2:1
11.09.21	Santa Clara - Benfica	0:5

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