Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Santa Clara		Varaždin

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.1	10	Watch
	1.35	4.33	8.75	Watch
	1.36	4.2	9.5	Watch
	1.36	4.34	11.64
	1.08	10.97	20.18	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.39	4.19	12	Watch
	1.45	4.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.45)	5.04 ↑ (4.2)	10.54 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
71.7%

Draw
19.1%

Varaždin
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Clara's performance.

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varaždin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	5%	20%

Santa Clara - Varaždin Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Varaždin will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 3 - 60%). Varaždin (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Santa Clara (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Varaždin (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 23. Sidney Lima 13. Rocha L. 21. Venancio F. 42. Lucas Soares 6. Adriano Firmino 35. Serginho 3. Matheus Pereira 70. Vinicius Lopes 29. Wendell 10. Gabriel Silva	1. Zelenika O. (C) 4. Skaricic L. 5. Ba L. 44. Barac M. 12. Bockaj P. 8. Duvnjak T. 10. Belcar L. 3. Jovanov V. 27. Latkovic A. 7. Vuk M. 17. Mamut I.
Substitutes
50. Afonso J. (G) 32. Araujo M. 11. Brenner 9. Carter A. 17. Costa J. 8. Ferreira P. 12. Neneca (G) 64. Paulo Victor 77. Pereira H. 16. Pires M.	11. Antunovic M. 25. Borsic A. 9. Dabro M. 2. Lesjak S. 24. Marina M. 13. Mladenovski M. 21. Novak T. (G) 14. Sierra J. 33. Silic J. (G) 38. Tavares I. 16. Tepsic N.
Coaches
Matos V.	Safaric N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Vinicius Lopes ⚽,
8', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
44', Sidney Lima 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Duvnjak T. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
60', Mamut I. 🟨,
60', Marina M. 🟨,
63', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, Gabriel Silva ⚽, Vinicius Lopes (A),
72', Belcar L. 🟨,
75', Mamut I. ↓, Tavares I. ↑,
75', Barac M. ↓, Borsic A. ↑,
75', Vuk M. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
80', Serginho ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
80', Wendell ↓, Carter A. ↑,
82', Venancio F. 🟨,
84', Latkovic A. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
86', Gabriel Silva ↓, Brenner ↑,
89', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Araujo M. ↑,
89', Matheus Pereira ↓, Pires M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Santa Clara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santa Clara is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Clara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Varaždin - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Farense - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Santa Clara - Famalicão	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Braga - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Santa Clara - Arouca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWTW
- NK Varaždin
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Varaždin - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Varaždin - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Sarajevo - Varaždin	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Varaždin	0:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
25.05.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Varaždin - Santa Clara	2:1

Upcoming Matches