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Current Win Probability
Braga 67.1%
Draw 21.6%
Santa Clara 11.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.1%
23.7%
13.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.5%
22.5%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.5%
2.7%
10.8%
Braga - Santa Clara Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -1.75 - Braga (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Santa Clara (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hornicek L. (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 4. Niakate S. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 77. Martinez G. 8. Moutinho J. 10. Zalazar R. 5. Lelo L. 27. Grillitsch F. 39. Navarro F. 21. Horta R. (C)
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 21. Venancio F. 13. Rocha L. 23. Lima S. 42. Lucas Soares 35. Serginho 8. Ferreira P. 6. Adriano Firmino 64. Paulo Victor 29. Wendell 11. Brenner
Substitutes
36. Bellaarouch A. (G) 20. Dorgeles M. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 2. Gomez V. 29. Gorby 15. Oliveira P. 50. Rodrigues D. 18. Victor P. 6. Vitor Carvalho
20. Adriel 17. Costa J. 2. Diogo Calila 10. Gabriel Silva 28. Luquinhas 32. MT 12. Neneca (G) 94. Silva H. 65. Tavares J.
Coaches
Vicens C.
Pires L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Wendell 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Horta R. ⚽, Martinez G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Rocha L. 🟨,
59', Zalazar R. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
59', Moutinho J. ↓, Gorby ↑,
59', Paulo Victor ↓, MT ↑,
67', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
67', Serginho ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
70', Martinez G. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
74', Ferreira P. 🟨,
76', Lima S. ↓, Silva H. ↑,
76', Ferreira P. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
83', Niakate S. ↓, Vitor Carvalho ↑,
83', Navarro F. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
88', Victor P. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 4.
Braga is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Santa Clara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Braga has had a series of away games.
In this match, Braga is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Braga: Pascoal F.
(Injury)
Vidigal S.
(Injury)
We predict that Braga will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Braga won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:15. (average 2.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:7. (average 2.4:0.7).
Africa
Bulgaria
Croatia
Cyprus
Finland
France
Greece
Hungary
Kosovo
Portugal
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
South-america
Turkey
Usa
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Hornicek L. (G) 
Lagerbielke G. 
Niakate S. 
Arrey-Mbi B. 
Martinez G. 
Moutinho J. 
Zalazar R. 
Grillitsch F. 
Gabriel Batista (C) 
Bellaarouch A. (G) 
Dorgeles M. 
Gorby 
Diogo Calila 
Tavares J. 
