Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Championship Group - Round 14

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Santa Clara U23		Sporting Lisbon U23

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.5	2.4
	2.45	3.5	2.4
	2.53	3.75	2.45
	2.52	3.84	2.43	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.47	3.52	2.36	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.2)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)	2.47 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara U23
37.6%

Draw
25.6%

Sporting Lisbon U23
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.6%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Sporting Lisbon U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara U23 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Clara U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santa Clara U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Martins D. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 🟥,
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara U23 won 2.

Santa Clara U23 has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sporting U23 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara U23 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sporting CP U23	7	4	3	0	15:9	6	15
10	Santa Clara U23	5	2	3	0	5:3	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Clara U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
21.04.26	Leixões U23 - Santa Clara U23	3:1 ✺
14.04.26	Santa Clara U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Santa Clara U23 - Benfica U23	2:3 ✺
17.03.26	Torreense U23 - Santa Clara U23	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Santa Clara U23 - Braga U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
24.04.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Benfica U23	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Torreense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Braga U23	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Famalicão U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
21.02.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Santa Clara U23	0:2
14.11.25	Santa Clara U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:2
26.08.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Santa Clara U23	0:1
09.11.24	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Santa Clara U23	1:0
30.08.24	Santa Clara U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:1
07.11.23	Santa Clara U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:0

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