Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Tello L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Fortaleza		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5.75
	1.58	3.75	6.4
	1.57	3.55	5.6
	1.62	3.6	6.47
	1.57	3.4	5.8
	1.61	3.7	6	Watch
	1.5	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.68)	3.63 ↑ (3.49)	6 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
58.8%

Draw
25.7%

Cerro Porteño
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

26.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

25.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	6.7%	20%

Fortaleza - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.23	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.03.23	Fortaleza - Deportivo Maldonado	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.02.23	Fortaleza - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.02.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.02.23	Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWTW
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.03.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.02.23	Cerro Porteño - Curicó Unido	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.02.23	Cerro Porteño - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.02.23	Curicó Unido - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.02.23	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTWW

Upcoming Matches