Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Cruz Recife		Lagarto

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.68	3.15	5
	1.49	3.4	6.2
	1.49	3.69	5.71
	1.5	3.3	6.5
	1.51	3.64	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (2.16)	3.45 ↑ (2.73)	6.09 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
59%

Draw
26.2%

Lagarto
14.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32.4%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

32.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.

Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lagarto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lagarto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	44.4%	0%

Santa Cruz Recife - Lagarto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Cruz: 23.1% – 88.1%.

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Preview

Recent matches Santa Cruz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lagarto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Santa Cruz is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
10.07.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
03.07.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Juazeirense	1:0 ✺
27.06.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Santa Cruz Recife	1:4 ✺
19.06.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Jacuipense	0:2 ✺
11.06.22	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLT
- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Serie D
09.07.22	Lagarto - Atlético de Alagoinhas	4:1 ✺
02.07.22	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Lagarto	0:1 ✺
26.06.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto	1:1 ✺
18.06.22	Lagarto - Sergipe	2:1 ✺
11.06.22	Juazeirense - Lagarto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
17.04.22	Lagarto - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0
Copa do Brasil
07.05.14	Santa Cruz Recife - Lagarto	3:1
09.04.14	Lagarto - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1

Santa Cruz Recife - Lagarto