Match Info

Date: 3 July 2022, Sunday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Juazeirense

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.7	2.9	4.5
	1.79	3.05	4.1
	1.76	3.21	4.31
	1.83	2.9	4.2
	1.78	3.14	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.03)	3.05 ↑ (2.83)	4.38 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
50.3%

Draw
29.3%

Juazeirense
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

31.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

29.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.

Juazeirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Santa Cruz Recife - Juazeirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Juazeirense will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Cruz: 25.1% – 83.9%.

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Santa Cruz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Santa Cruz Recife	1:4 ✺
19.06.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Jacuipense	0:2 ✺
11.06.22	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
05.06.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
29.05.22	Sergipe - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTWT
- SD Juazeirense
Brazilian Serie D
25.06.22	Juazeirense - Jacuipense	0:2 ✺
16.06.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Juazeirense	1:1 ✺
11.06.22	Juazeirense - Lagarto	1:0 ✺
05.06.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Juazeirense	1:0 ✺
28.05.22	Juazeirense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.05.22	Juazeirense - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
05.08.18	Juazeirense - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0
02.06.18	Santa Cruz Recife - Juazeirense	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
02.03.16	Juazeirense - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1
24.02.16	Santa Cruz Recife - Juazeirense	1:1

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