Match Info

Date: 17 July 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Cruz Recife		Tombense

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Santa Cruz Recife
34%

Draw
33.5%

Tombense
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tombense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 6).

Santa Cruz is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tombense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
10.07.21	Altos - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
03.07.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Paysandu	1:2 ✺
21.06.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
14.06.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
05.06.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Floresta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
11.07.21	Floresta - Tombense	1:1 ✺
03.07.21	Tombense - Botafogo PB	2:0 ✺
26.06.21	Manaus - Tombense	2:1 ✺
18.06.21	Tombense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
13.06.21	Tombense - Altos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLWT

Santa Cruz Recife - Tombense