Match Info

Date: 14 December 2020, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Cruz Recife		Jorge Wilstermann

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2
	3.4	3.4	1.9
	3.25	3.55	1.96
	3.52	3.69	2.02
	3.4	3.4	2
	3.54	3.52	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (4.22)	3.48 ↑ (3.41)	1.97 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
27%

Draw
26.4%

Jorge Wilstermann
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.4%

26.5%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

19.3%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.

Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jorge Wilstermann might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jorge Wilstermann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Cruz Recife - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Copa Sudamericana).

Santa Cruz is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wilstermann is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wilstermann will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
13.12.20	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Always Ready	0:3 ✺
09.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Real Potosí	3:1 ✺
07.12.20	San Jose Earthquakes - Santa Cruz Recife	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWLT
- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.12.20	Jorge Wilstermann - The Strongest	0:0 ✺
09.12.20	Blooming - Jorge Wilstermann	2:1 ✺
07.12.20	Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora	1:1 ✺
04.12.20	Guabirá - Jorge Wilstermann	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.12.20	Jorge Wilstermann - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
13.02.20	Jorge Wilstermann - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0

Santa Cruz Recife - Jorge Wilstermann

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions

Preview

Form

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