Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Volta Redonda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Volta Redonda		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.52
	2.15	3.12	3.53	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.3
	2.1	2.99	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.04)	3.04 ↑ (3)	3.42 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
43.2%

Draw
30.1%

Ferroviária
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

30.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

30.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-3%)

Volta Redonda - Ferroviária Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avelino (G) 13. Alan 19. Blanco O. 5. Bruno Barra (C) 29. Caetano 8. Dener 22. Juninho Monteiro 10. Luciano Naninho 11. MV 16. Pedro Costa 17. Wagninho	31. Denis Junior (G) 10. Albano (C) 36. Douglas Skilo 29. Eduardo Oliveira 13. Gustavo Medina 2. Lucas Rodrigues 18. Rafael Carillho 5. Ricardinho 19. Thiago M. 11. Vitor Barreto 40. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
18. Caio Henrique 45. Deivity (G) 4. Fabricio 20. Fellipinho 15. Joao Victor 25. Juliano Fabro 7. Marquinhos 23. Matheus Moresche 14. Rafael Castro 26. Romarinho 2. Wellington Silva 9. Ygor Catatau	8. Alencar 38. Allison 17. Cantarelli M. 24. Carvalho I. (G) 20. David Souza 7. Fabio Soares 22. Felipe Rodrigues 15. Fernandinho 4. Guilherme Ferreira 33. Pedro Estevam 30. Raoni 6. Rhuan
Coaches
William De Mattia	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Rogerio Correa 🟨,
21', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
25', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
38', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
40', Bruno Barra 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Douglas Skilo ↓, Felipe Rodrigues ↑,
46', Caetano ↓, Fellipinho ↑,
65', Ricardinho ↓, Raoni ↑,
65', Rafael Carillho ↓, Alencar ↑,
65', Vitor Barreto ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
66', Blanco O. ↓, Ygor Catatau ↑,
77', MV ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
77', Pedro Costa ↓, Wellington Silva ↑,
85', Wagninho ↓, Juliano Fabro ↑,
86', Albano ↓, Guilherme Ferreira ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 14)

Volta Redonda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferroviária is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Volta Redonda might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Ferroviaria: 23.95%

Last Results with these Odds

Volta Redonda - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.47%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
06.05.26	Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
03.05.26	Volta Redonda - Brusque	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
30.04.26	Caxias - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
25.04.26	Maranhão - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.05.26	CA Juventus - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
03.05.26	Ferroviária - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
30.04.26	Ferroviária - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.26	Ferroviária - Guarani	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
23.04.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.08.25	Ferroviária - Volta Redonda	0:0
22.04.25	Volta Redonda - Ferroviária	0:0
Brazilian Serie C
19.08.24	Ferroviária - Volta Redonda	5:1

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