The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz de Natal 30.8%
Draw 32%
Ferroviário Fortaleza 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
29%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
27%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz de Natal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Santa Cruz de Natal - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Ciel ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Matheus Bambu ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 2, Ciel ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 5).
Santa Cruz de Natal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ferroviário is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Ferroviário may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz de Natal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
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