Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Santa Cruz de Natal		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.7	1.6
	5.2	3.45	1.61
	6.2	3.7	1.6
	5.89	3.53	1.63	Watch
	5	3.6	1.62
	5.5	3.86	1.6
	5.2	3.45	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↑ (3.89)	3.61 ↑ (3.43)	1.61 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz de Natal
16.8%

Draw
25.6%

Náutico Capibaribe
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

27.1%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.2%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Cruz de Natal's form might have worsened.

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náutico Capibaribe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz de Natal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Santa Cruz de Natal - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: Náutico Capibaribe will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Henz (G) 6. David Lopes 19. Diego Costa 2. Einstein 10. Felipe Araujo 9. Hudson Dias 3. Moises Matias 7. Peu 4. Raniery 5. Teixeira P. 8. Ze Vitor	19. Muriel Becker (G) 18. Auremir 16. Felipe Santana 23. Igor Fernandes 12. Leo Coltro 17. Marcos Ytalo 34. Otusanya O. 20. Patrick Allan 9. Paulo Sergio 25. Sousa (C) 22. Wenderson
Substitutes
13. Alessandro Maranhao 16. Alexandre 17. Bebeto 20. Douglas J. 15. Dudu 25. Flor F. 14. Gladstone 11. Gustavinho 18. Hitalo 12. Joao Victor (G) 23. Mario Victor 21. Vitinho	2. Arnaldo 80. Bruno Mezenga 10. Geovane 7. Helio Borges 5. Igor Pereira 13. Indio 27. Kauan Maranhao 15. Kayon 8. Marco Antonio 14. Odivan 1. Wellerson R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Wenderson 🟨,
18', Hudson Dias 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Paulo Sergio ⚽,
37', Felipe Santana 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Wenderson ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
46', David Lopes ↓, Hitalo ↑,
66', Otusanya O. ↓, Kayon ↑,
66', Auremir ↓, Igor Pereira ↑,
67', Peu ↓, Vitinho ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Sousa ⚽,
79', Paulo Sergio ↓, Bruno Mezenga ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Bruno Mezenga ⚽,
85', Patrick Allan ↓, Kauan Maranhao ↑,
85', Ze Vitor ↓, Bebeto ↑,
85', Diego Costa ↓, Gustavinho ↑,
85', Einstein ↓, Alessandro Maranhao ↑,
88', 0 - 4, Kayon ⚽,
90+1', Maranhao A. 🟨,

Preview

Andreeva is ranked WTA: 14. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 2.

Now both players are in good shape.

Swiatek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Swiatek is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Swiatek to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Andreeva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz de Natal
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
15.02.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	América RN - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Laguna	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Globo FC - Santa Cruz de Natal	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Força e Luz	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTLW
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
15.02.25	Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
12.02.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Juazeirense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
09.02.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Afogados da Ingazeira	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.25	Confiança - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.02.25	Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWLL

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