Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Xelajú		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.52	3.9	4.5
	1.52	3.7	5.6
	1.51	3.61	6.86
	1.5	3.7	6
	1.48	4.15	5.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)	3.79 ↓ (4)	5.68 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xelajú
60.1%

Draw
23.9%

Santa Lucia
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.5%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

15.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xelajú that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Lucia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Xelajú - Santa Lucia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Xelajú could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Santa Lucia have a series of home games.

In this match Xelajú is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Xelajú won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Xelajú won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.10.20	Deportivo Iztapa - Xelajú	5:0 ✺
27.09.20	Antigua GFC - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
20.09.20	Xelajú - Malacateco	1:1 ✺
13.09.20	Santa Lucia - Xelajú	0:1 ✺
05.09.20	Xelajú - Deportivo Iztapa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTWW
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
16.10.20	Santa Lucia - Floriana	2:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.10.20	Santa Lucia - Malacateco	0:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
01.10.20	Sliema Wanderers - Santa Lucia	3:1 ✺
27.09.20	Santa Lucia - Hamrun Spartans	1:4 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.09.20	Santa Lucia - Deportivo Iztapa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
13.09.20	Santa Lucia - Xelajú	0:1
05.02.20	Santa Lucia - Xelajú	1:1
24.11.19	Santa Lucia - Xelajú	2:2
14.09.19	Xelajú - Santa Lucia	1:0

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