Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Round 4

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Valletta		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.14	6.25	17.5
	1.15	6	17	Watch
	1.16	4.32	17.43
	1.19	4.78	20
	1.11	6.9	17.5
	1.15	6	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.09)	5.71 ↓ (8.53)	17.74 ↓ (18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valletta
79%

Draw
15.9%

Santa Lucia
5.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.2%

10.7%

5.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valletta's form might have worsened.

The chances for Santa Lucia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Valletta - Santa Lucia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aquilina T. (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 5. Cassar Z. 9. Ciolacu A. 30. Lapira P. 28. MacKay S. 4. Micallef N. 2. Mushagalusa E. 10. Paiber B. (C) 6. Ruiz E. 33. Scicluna J.	12. Farrugia C. (G) 21. Borg A. 15. Hanan B. 11. Ihuomah B. 5. Mangion D. 14. Nicholl J. 10. Ojo T. 22. Salis I. 20. Sixsmith J. 27. Vella A. 6. Vella M. (C)
Substitutes
17. Barbara Z. 21. Conti K. 15. Ewurum K. 13. Frendo L. (G) 14. Gauci C. 16. Jeferson 18. Ohaka P. 20. Tabone N. 8. Vukovic D.	4. Agius S. 18. Bajada J. 19. Bajada J. 9. Falzon R. 3. Polidano J. 1. Spiteri M. J. (G) 29. Tanti J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Ciolacu A. (Pen),
28', Borg A. 🟨,
33', Sixsmith J. 🟨,
34', Ojo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Ciolacu A. ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, Ciolacu A. ⚽,
58', Ciolacu A. ↓, Jeferson ↑,
67', Lapira P. ↓, Tabone N. ↑,
67', Cassar Z. ↓, Barbara Z. ↑,
68', Nicholl J. 🟨,
80', Mushagalusa E. ↓, Ewurum K. ↑,
80', Scicluna J. ↓, Conti K. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valletta won 2.

In this match Valletta is certain favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Valletta won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Valletta won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valletta FC
Maltese Challenge League
28.09.24	Żurrieq - Valletta	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Valletta - Lija Athletic	6:0 ✺
14.09.24	Sirens - Valletta	0:3 ✺
Maltese Premier League
28.04.24	Naxxar Lions - Valletta	4:0 ✺
21.04.24	Valletta - Balzan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Challenge League
29.09.24	Santa Lucia - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Santa Lucia - Marsa	0:5 ✺
Maltese Premier League
03.05.24	Santa Lucia - Birkirkara	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Santa Lucia - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Hamrun Spartans - Santa Lucia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
16.03.24	Santa Lucia - Valletta	2:0
26.11.23	Valletta - Santa Lucia	1:1
10.04.23	Valletta - Santa Lucia	0:1
12.11.22	Santa Lucia - Valletta	0:2
Maltese FA Trophy
10.05.22	Santa Lucia - Valletta	0:1
Maltese Premier League
06.05.22	Valletta - Santa Lucia	2:1
20.02.22	Santa Lucia - Valletta	2:1

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