Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 29

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Barbara E. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Hamrun Spartans		Gżira United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	4.85	7.3	Watch
	1.31	4.89	7.43
	1.33	4.91	7.64	Watch
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.29	4.7	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)	4.77 ↑ (4.45)	7.93 ↑ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
69.5%

Draw
19%

Gżira United
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

20.3%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

18%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamrun Spartans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hamrun will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gżira will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonello H. (C) 27. Bjelicic O. 24. Ceter D. 47. El Fanis M. 8. Garcia M. 6. Guillaumier M. 93. Inzoudine Y. 10. Mbong J. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri 5. Xerri S.	33. Colombo E. (G) 19. Bastic S. 57. Bonilla J. 6. Borg A. 13. Failla C. 10. Maxuell Samurai 3. Mentz G. (C) 23. N’sa C. 14. Riascos L. 96. Stojanovic M. 30. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
7. Attard S. 33. Bonello I. 14. Borg E. 92. Brincau K. (G) 31. Bulevardi D. 94. Camenzuli R. 16. Camilleri S. 98. Celio (G) 25. Ederson 30. Eleke B. 49. Jonny	9. Andre Carlos 8. Borg B. 28. Cassar N. 11. Farrugia D. 20. Galea K. (G) 25. Ghigo G. 98. Kante 7. Martinez S. 92. Previ A. 1. Sargent K. (G) 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.
Coaches
Modica G.	Abdilla D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Inzoudine Y. ↓, Ederson ↑,
23', Riascos L. 🟨,
38', Ceter D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Riascos L. ↓, Kante ↑,
64', Polito V. 🟨,
64', Garcia M. ↓, Jonny ↑,
64', Ceter D. ↓, Eleke B. ↑,
78', Bastic S. ↓, Borg B. ↑,
78', Bonilla J. ↓, Andre Carlos ↑,
79', El Fanis M. ↓, Bulevardi D. ↑,
83', Bjelicic O. 🟨,
88', Borg A. 🟨,
89', Xuereb D. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
89', Borg A. ↓, Farrugia D. ↑,
90+10', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 2.

Recent form of Hamrun has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gżira has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hamrun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hamrun is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamrun won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hamrun	6	3	1	2	9:6	3	10
11	Gzira	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League
11.04.26	Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Mosta - Hamrun Spartans	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara	3:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.03.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	3:1 ET ✺
Maltese Premier League
01.03.26	Hamrun Spartans - Floriana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLT
- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
12.04.26	Valletta - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.04.26	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	4:2 ✺
Maltese Premier League
14.03.26	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	1:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.03.26	Gżira United - Mosta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
03.02.26	Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans	0:0
20.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:0
02.03.25	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:1
07.11.24	Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans	1:2
13.04.24	Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans	0:1
13.12.23	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	2:1
11.03.23	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	1:0

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