Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 23

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Santa Marta Tormes		Real Ávila

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.61
	5.22	3.25	1.63
	5.25	3.5	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↓ (6.65)	3.38 ↓ (4.1)	1.63 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Marta Tormes
17.6%

Draw
26.8%

Real Ávila
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

22.4%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

21.6%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Ávila might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Ávila could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Marta Tormes - Real Ávila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs)).

Santa Marta Tormes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Ávila is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Real Ávila is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Santa Marta Tormes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Marta Tormes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Santa Marta Tormes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.02.23	Unami CP - Santa Marta Tormes	1:4 ✺
18.02.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Ponferradina B	0:4 ✺
12.02.23	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	4:0 ✺
05.02.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga	2:3 ✺
29.01.23	Salamanca - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLL
- Real Ávila
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
26.02.23	Real Ávila - Almazán	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Atlético Palencia - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Real Ávila - Mirandés B	3:1 ✺
05.02.23	Real Ávila - Unami CP	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Ponferradina B - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
30.10.22	Real Ávila - Santa Marta Tormes	1:1
13.03.22	Real Ávila - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1
30.10.21	Santa Marta Tormes - Real Ávila	0:0
18.05.19	Real Ávila - Santa Marta Tormes	3:1

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