Match Info

EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday


	Santa Tecla		Isidro Metapán

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.66
	4.33	3.6	1.68
	4.35	3.99	1.71
	4.36	3.99	1.71
	4.33	3.6	1.67
	4.32	3.67	1.73
	4.1	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.53)	3.75 ↑ (3.29)	1.69 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Tecla
21.4%

Draw
24.4%

Isidro Metapán
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27.8%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Tecla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Isidro Metapán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Isidro Metapán's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Isidro Metapán, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Esquivel J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
74', 0 - 2, Stradella G. ⚽,
84', 0 - 3, Flores C. N. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 4, Stradella G. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Tecla won 3.

Santa Tecla is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Isidro Metapán is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Santa Tecla have a series of home games.

In this match Isidro Metapán is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Santa Tecla won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Tecla won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Tecla FC
El Salvador Primera Division
27.04.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Santa Tecla	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Santa Tecla - Águila	2:4 ✺
21.04.24	Santa Tecla - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
10.04.24	Santa Tecla - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTTT
- AD Isidro Metapán
El Salvador Primera Division
27.04.24	Isidro Metapán - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	2:1 ✺
24.04.24	Isidro Metapán - Jocoro	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Municipal Limeño - Isidro Metapán	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Isidro Metapán - Águila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
05.03.24	Isidro Metapán - Santa Tecla	0:1
14.10.23	Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	2:3
19.08.23	Isidro Metapán - Santa Tecla	2:0
30.04.23	Isidro Metapán - Santa Tecla	0:1
04.03.23	Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	4:2
15.10.22	Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	4:1
21.09.22	Isidro Metapán - Santa Tecla	3:1

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