Match Info

Date: 7 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin (Tandil)

Referee: Rivero R. (Arg)


	Santamarina de Tandil		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	2	Watch
	3.7	3.1	2.05
	3.8	2.88	2.05
	3.6	3.05	2.02
	4.31	3.01	2.08
	3.7	2.9	2.05
	3.7	3.13	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.36)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santamarina de Tandil
24.1%

Draw
30.4%

Atlético de Rafaela
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

31.7%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

32.7%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	61.5%	15.4%

Santamarina de Tandil - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Santamarina will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 37 in the zone Relegation and 32).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Atlético de Rafaela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético de Rafaela will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Santamarina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.08.22	Guillermo Brown - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
27.07.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
23.07.22	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	0:1 ✺
18.07.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
11.07.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Santamarina de Tandil	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LWWTL
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.07.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Guillermo Brown	4:1 ✺
23.07.22	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	3:1 ✺
17.07.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
11.07.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
03.07.22	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.08.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Santamarina de Tandil	0:1
11.04.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0
07.10.19	Santamarina de Tandil - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1
11.03.19	Santamarina de Tandil - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0
14.10.17	Santamarina de Tandil - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0

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