The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santamarina de Tandil 27.4%
Draw 31.9%
Chacarita Juniors 40.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
32.3%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
33.8%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santamarina de Tandil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
62.5%
25%
Santamarina de Tandil - Chacarita Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Santamarina will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Chacarita will win (votes: 8 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45.7% – 79.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 37 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 4.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Chacarita will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Santamarina won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.