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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 43.2%
Draw 29.9%
Santiago Morning 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
26.5%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
25.8%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Magallanes's form might have worsened.
Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-4%)
Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Morning Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bernatene M. (G) 3. Walters A. 4. Vasquez M. 41. James J. 16. Osorio M. 14. Valdez B. 10. Aranguiz T. 40. Sabella A. 20. Araya M. 9. Peraza F. 8. Vicuna M.
12. Canete L. (G) 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 14. Vasquez K. 2. Santelices G. 25. Estay D. 4. Iturra M. 6. Asprea T. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. 20. Ormeno E. 15. Cortes F. 18. Taiva B.
Substitutes
28. Barria A. 24. Berrios E. 38. Conelli V. 1. Martinic A. (G) 22. Morales Olivares M. G. 26. Munoz C. 18. Toledo A.
1. Arana A. (G) 7. Arancibia M. 22. Arias D. 16. Ceron D. 23. Delgado M. 5. Gatica M. 8. Salazar S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Vasquez K. ⚽,
13', Osorio M. 🟥,
20', Walters A. 🟨,
45+1', Guajardo Barrera B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sabella A. ↓, Morales Olivares M. G. ↑,
46', Araya M. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
57', Asprea T. ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
57', Ormeno E. ↓, Arancibia M. ↑,
57', James J. ↓, Barria A. ↑,
58', Peraza F. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
65', Santelices G. 🟨,
68', Valdez B. 🟨,
70', Aranguiz T. ↓, Conelli V. ↑,
71', Morales Olivares M. G. 🟨,
72', Taiva B. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
72', Vicuna M. 🟥,
75', Arias D. 🟨,
76', James J. 🟥,
79', Manriquez Hernandez F. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
80', Canete L. 🟨,
81', Vasquez M. 🟨,
83', Salazar S. 🟨,
90+3', Delgado M. 🟨,
90+4', Santelices G. 🟨,
90+4', Valdez B. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 3.
Magallanes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Santiago Morning has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Magallanes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Magallanes is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
Watch
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Bernatene M. (G) 
Walters A. 
James J. 
Arana A. (G) 
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