The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Wanderers 16.9%
Draw 21.1%
Unión La Calera 62%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.4%
25.8%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.5%
24.6%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión La Calera's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Santiago Wanderers - Unión La Calera Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Terrazas F. (G) 2. Silva A. 17. Caceres C. 33. Bahamondez T. 24. Dubo A. 21. Vargas S. 10. Luna J. 27. Vera V. 20. Avendano L. 29. Silva C. 22. Javier Parraguez
12. Espinoza N. (G) 26. Maturana M. 3. Palma N. 6. Lavin V. 25. Diaz C. (C) 8. Leiva Y. 5. Moya C. 29. Soto J. 20. Cruz J. 19. Campos M. 17. Hiriart M.
Substitutes
13. Adasme B. 35. Avello F. (G) 4. Espinoza V. 28. Molina D. 32. Vargas V. 15. Villarroel M.
2. Andia Leon Y. W. 1. Avellaneda N. (G) 30. Fernandez M. 4. Gutierrez C. 28. Lindermann C. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 9. Pozzo F. 15. Salomoni J. 14. Villanueva C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Campos M. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
11', 0 - 2, Leiva Y. ⚽, Maturana M. (A),
30', Vera V. ↓, Espinoza V. ↑,
37', Luna J. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 3, Diaz C. ⚽, Hiriart M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moya C. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
46', Bahamondez T. ↓, Adasme B. ↑,
56', Diaz C. ↓, Salomoni J. ↑,
62', Silva A. ↓, Molina D. ↑,
64', 0 - 4, Fernandez M. ⚽, Campos M. (A),
70', Campos M. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
70', Cruz J. ↓, Pozzo F. ↑,
72', Dubo A. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
72', Vargas S. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
74', Molina D. 🟨,
79', Leiva Y. ↓, Andia Leon Y. W. ↑,
86', 🟨,
87', Maturana M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Unión La Calera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Unión La Calera might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).
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Terrazas F. (G) 
Luna J. 
Gutierrez C. 
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